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Werewolf: Round 4

+20
markmarkadam
Sine
WowzerAnne
blah2355
Snail
Providence
esque
thecat100
NOT THE WAREWOLF
truecrypt32
jakobs98
CaptainKraft
Slade
chartreuse
SirGuy
Unknown3
chaosfaction
Zed Di Dragon
Jman
Vapid Seraphim
24 posters

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151Werewolf: Round 4 - Page 7 Empty Someone call up George Harrison... Mon Apr 02, 2012 8:07 pm

Providence

Providence
Narwhal

Night 11 (?) Ends.

Another large story bit:
Spoiler:

Day 12 Now Begins.
Y'all have about 23 hours to vote on someone to kill. Best o' luck to you all.

152Werewolf: Round 4 - Page 7 Empty Re: Werewolf: Round 4 Mon Apr 02, 2012 8:24 pm

esque

esque
Narwhal

It is still my adamant belief that chaosfaction be up to no good.

153Werewolf: Round 4 - Page 7 Empty Re: Werewolf: Round 4 Mon Apr 02, 2012 8:30 pm

chaosfaction

chaosfaction
Narwhal

esque wrote:It is still my adamant belief that chaosfaction be up to no good.
It is my adamant belief that i am not. =/
ill be honest im not sure who is especially now that slade and all the active users are dead. if anyone can come up with a convincing case please go ahead.

154Werewolf: Round 4 - Page 7 Empty Re: Werewolf: Round 4 Tue Apr 03, 2012 12:06 am

blah2355


Goldfish

People alive still:

WowzerAnne
Zeddy
Sine
Unknown3
markmarkadam
chaosfaction
truecrypt32
esque
chartreuse
Jakobs98
blah2355
PELIGRO

Statistically, 4 of them are wolves so we might have a 1/3 chance of getting them but that's just statistics. Anyone have a strong lead? I refuse to bandwagon anymore without strong evidence (whatever that is).

esque wrote:It is still my adamant belief that chaosfaction be up to no good.
Starting a bandwagon?



Last edited by blah2355 on Tue Apr 03, 2012 6:10 pm; edited 1 time in total

155Werewolf: Round 4 - Page 7 Empty Re: Werewolf: Round 4 Tue Apr 03, 2012 6:59 am

Zed Di Dragon

Zed Di Dragon
Narwhal

Sine has yet to provide the simple screenshot I asked of him to prove his claim. I can only assume he's been using the time to prepare a photoshop or the like.



Last edited by Zed Di Dragon on Tue Apr 03, 2012 7:50 pm; edited 1 time in total

156Werewolf: Round 4 - Page 7 Empty Re: Werewolf: Round 4 Tue Apr 03, 2012 10:02 am

blah2355


Goldfish

Zed Di Dragon wrote:Sine has yet to provide the simple screenshot I asked of him to prove his claim. I can only assume he's been using the time to prepare a photoshop or the like.
I thought it was against the rules to provide a screenshot of your role.

157Werewolf: Round 4 - Page 7 Empty Re: Werewolf: Round 4 Tue Apr 03, 2012 11:25 am

jakobs98

jakobs98
Narwhal

blah2355 wrote:
Zed Di Dragon wrote:Sine has yet to provide the simple screenshot I asked of him to prove his claim. I can only assume he's been using the time to prepare a photoshop or the like.
I thought it was against the rules to provide a screenshot of your role.
I believe Zeddy was referring to something about a conversation on Facebook, of which a screenshot would not break the rules.

Sine is getting a bit fishy.

https://twitter.com/#!/Jakobs1998

158Werewolf: Round 4 - Page 7 Empty Re: Werewolf: Round 4 Tue Apr 03, 2012 4:12 pm

Zed Di Dragon

Zed Di Dragon
Narwhal

blah2355 wrote:I thought it was against the rules to provide a screenshot of your role.
That's why I never asked about anything of the sort; I asked for a screenshot of the facebook post he presented as 'evidence'.

159Werewolf: Round 4 - Page 7 Empty Re: Werewolf: Round 4 Tue Apr 03, 2012 6:02 pm

truecrypt32


Goldfish

blah2355 wrote:People alive still:

WowzerAnne
Zeddy
Sine
Unknown3
markmarkadam
chaosfaction
truecrypt32
esque
chartreuse
Jakobs98
blah2355
PELIGRO

Statistically, 4 of them are wolves so we might have a 1/3 chance of getting them but that's just statistics. Anyone have a strong lead? I refuse to bandwagon anymore without strong evidence (whatever that is).

i believe Peligro is dead....

My vote goes against Sine.
Show us the screenshot.



Last edited by truecrypt32 on Tue Apr 03, 2012 6:04 pm; edited 1 time in total (Reason for editing : punctuation)

160Werewolf: Round 4 - Page 7 Empty Re: Werewolf: Round 4 Tue Apr 03, 2012 6:04 pm

blah2355


Goldfish

truecrypt32 wrote:
blah2355 wrote:People alive still:

WowzerAnne
Zeddy
Sine
Unknown3
markmarkadam
chaosfaction
truecrypt32
esque
chartreuse
Jakobs98
blah2355
PELIGRO

Statistically, 4 of them are wolves so we might have a 1/3 chance of getting them but that's just statistics. Anyone have a strong lead? I refuse to bandwagon anymore without strong evidence (whatever that is).

i believe Peligro is dead....

my vote goes against Sine Show us the screenshot.

No, he's alive: https://whoshungry.rpg-board.net/u48

Not very active though.

161Werewolf: Round 4 - Page 7 Empty Re: Werewolf: Round 4 Tue Apr 03, 2012 6:08 pm

Zed Di Dragon

Zed Di Dragon
Narwhal

https://whoshungry.rpg-board.net/t98p105-werewolf-round-4#2928

He was killed a couple of nights ago. Providence simply forgot to alter his group.

162Werewolf: Round 4 - Page 7 Empty Re: Werewolf: Round 4 Tue Apr 03, 2012 6:12 pm

blah2355


Goldfish

Oh okay, then we have about 36% chance of getting a wolf.

163Werewolf: Round 4 - Page 7 Empty Re: Werewolf: Round 4 Tue Apr 03, 2012 6:30 pm

Providence

Providence
Narwhal

C'mon guys... I can see the starting signs and please don't let this thing die of inactivity...
I'd like to have more than four votes when closing day. Please get voting!

164Werewolf: Round 4 - Page 7 Empty Re: Werewolf: Round 4 Tue Apr 03, 2012 6:30 pm

Zed Di Dragon

Zed Di Dragon
Narwhal

I wonder.

Right now there are 4 wolves, 6 villagers and 1 neutral. Let's assume you are a villager (or neutral) and vote for a completely random person based on no evidence (this is your claim).

The leaves 5 villagers, 1 neutral and 4 wolves to vote for. In other words, 4 out of 10 people you can vote for are wolves. This makes 40%.

The wolves probably all know eachother at this point, so they have a 0% chance of voting for a wolf unless circumstances force them to. Given the apathy of most players today, this seems to be the case.

So 7 out of 11 players have a 40% chance to vote for a wolf. At this point the math gets very fuzzy, but I'm going to just do 70% out of 40% which makes for... 28%

I'm glad I did this.

165Werewolf: Round 4 - Page 7 Empty Re: Werewolf: Round 4 Tue Apr 03, 2012 6:52 pm

Providence

Providence
Narwhal

Imma gonna extend day until 8 PM in the hopes that we'll get some more votes. If not, then I guess we'll close this day with the 4 votes we have...

166Werewolf: Round 4 - Page 7 Empty Re: Werewolf: Round 4 Tue Apr 03, 2012 7:06 pm

Unknown3

Unknown3
Goldfish

Unfortunately It seems that this round is facing the same inactivity crisis as round 2, which is truly ashame

On the lynchier note, Sine still has to prove the legitimacy of his conversation with vapid

167Werewolf: Round 4 - Page 7 Empty Re: Werewolf: Round 4 Tue Apr 03, 2012 7:08 pm

chaosfaction

chaosfaction
Narwhal

I vote for esque then if I have to vote. I'd rather vote for a certain neutral than a possible villager

168Werewolf: Round 4 - Page 7 Empty Re: Werewolf: Round 4 Tue Apr 03, 2012 7:11 pm

Zed Di Dragon

Zed Di Dragon
Narwhal

I'm afraid that wouldn't do much good. Although we lose today if we lynch a villager, lynching the neutral just gives us the exact same predicament tomorrow.

169Werewolf: Round 4 - Page 7 Empty Re: Werewolf: Round 4 Tue Apr 03, 2012 7:22 pm

Unknown3

Unknown3
Goldfish

but it could give us more time to find out who the wolves are, and increases our chances of picking one of four wolves randomly, as seen with our lovely probabilities from above.

170Werewolf: Round 4 - Page 7 Empty Re: Werewolf: Round 4 Tue Apr 03, 2012 7:42 pm

Zed Di Dragon

Zed Di Dragon
Narwhal

By the way, people, I'm a wolf. Just thought I should throw that out there.

Considering how nobody is playing, I don't even think saying that put me in any danger. You'll need to get five villagers (yourself included) to vote for me within the next twenty minutes.

Edit: Honestly, I'll be surprised if I see even two people vote against me.



Last edited by Zed Di Dragon on Tue Apr 03, 2012 7:44 pm; edited 1 time in total

171Werewolf: Round 4 - Page 7 Empty Re: Werewolf: Round 4 Tue Apr 03, 2012 7:43 pm

orange08

orange08
Narwhal

MWUAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHA!!1111UNO

http://orange08indie.blogspot.com/

172Werewolf: Round 4 - Page 7 Empty Re: Werewolf: Round 4 Tue Apr 03, 2012 7:50 pm

Zed Di Dragon

Zed Di Dragon
Narwhal

Ten minutes left.

Here. Look. I'll even vote for myself and give you a head start?

173Werewolf: Round 4 - Page 7 Empty Re: Werewolf: Round 4 Tue Apr 03, 2012 7:53 pm

Vapid Seraphim

Vapid Seraphim
Goldfish

Zed Di Dragon wrote:
By the way, people, I'm a wolf. Just thought I should throw that out there.

Called it.

174Werewolf: Round 4 - Page 7 Empty Re: Werewolf: Round 4 Tue Apr 03, 2012 7:53 pm

Jman

Jman
Narwhal

Zed Di Dragon wrote:Ten minutes left.

Here. Look. I'll even vote for myself and give you a head start?

God, this is just getting pathetic villagers.

This is why having such a large playerbase can be very detrimental to the enjoyment of the game, since there's bound to be inactives among all the people.

At this point, we're stuck playing the waiting game like Round 2.

175Werewolf: Round 4 - Page 7 Empty Re: Werewolf: Round 4 Tue Apr 03, 2012 7:54 pm

Zed Di Dragon

Zed Di Dragon
Narwhal

You know, Vapid, I really thought everyone would be lynching me right after I ate you.

How could they not see the connection between you accusing me and you getting eaten?

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